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PAKISTAN'S POLL SCENE


As Pakistan gears up for elections at the end of the first complete term of a government, we track the campaigns and profile prominent political leaders in the run-up to May 11, 2013.
The first general elections in Pakistan that will usher in a smooth democratic transfer of power in 66 years are likely to go down to the wire with no party expected to get majority. With less than two weeks to go for the landmark elections to choose the 242 member National Assembly, two time former premier Nawaz Sharif appears to have an edge over others and his group may emerge as the single largest party not withstanding a late surge by the cricketer turned politician Imran Khan in Punjab.
The lifetime ban was imposed because Mr. Musharraf had abrogated the Constitution twice and detained judges during the 2007 emergency, the bench said. And Mr. Musharraf was barred from contesting polls to the national and provincial assemblies and the Senate, it said.
All indications are that the country could be heading for another coalition government, analysts say. Battered by allegations of poor governance and corruption and hampered by a lacklustre campaign, the Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP) and its allies, which held power till recently, are unlikely to get the numbers that had helped them capture power in 2008. President Asif Ali Zardari has been barred from campaigning by the judiciary and the PPP has struggled in wooing voters even in its traditional strongholds in Sindh.
Attacks by the banned Tehrik-E-Taliban Pakistan on the PPP and its secular allies, the Muttahida Qaumi Movement “MQM” under Awami National Party “ANP” had forced them to curtail their election campaign and their leaders away from rallies and meetings. Analysts say all this has strengthened the hands of Sharif in an election seen largely as issue – less.
In the last polls, the PML-N bagged 92 seats in the National Assembly, including 69 directly elected seats and 20 nominated seats for women and non-Muslims. Pakistan appears set for another coalition government, says Raza Rumi, editor of the Friday Times. With Zardari and another senior leaders missing from the campaign trail and the PPP’s 24 year old chef Bilawal Bhutto Zardari issuing only a video message, analysts believe the party is unlikely to bag anywhere near the 125 seats it had last National Assembly.
Sharif and his brother, Shahbaz Sharif, have attracted massive crowds during their campaign but these large turnouts have largely been in their traditional stronghold of Punjab.